Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 7.666144 8.763173 9.974693 11.414067 13.080381 14.952101 17.218602
2025-07-13 6.350685 7.810717 9.554595 11.799400 14.624586 18.078120 22.643893
2025-07-20 5.527534 7.165867 9.236811 12.063555 15.847579 20.774616 27.735235
2025-07-27 5.020567 6.795432 9.145975 12.514146 17.261600 23.780832 33.525672
2025-08-03 4.394050 6.163789 8.600129 12.236249 17.589108 25.279196 37.343175
2025-08-10 3.925884 5.684318 8.189942 12.068118 18.005065 26.890120 41.456429
2025-08-17 3.544418 5.280655 7.832891 11.916096 18.394321 28.460367 45.648853
2025-08-24 3.214773 4.915700 7.488110 11.730410 18.686424 29.877435 49.726329
2025-08-31 2.922875 4.577339 7.145778 11.502052 18.866771 31.106098 53.601565
2025-09-07 2.815737 4.517669 7.231006 11.966826 20.228371 34.425023 61.499301
2025-09-14 2.654415 4.353356 7.128138 12.099460 21.024644 36.840899 68.051869
2025-09-21 2.478498 4.148031 6.936370 12.054689 21.493189 38.707691 73.786995
2025-09-28 2.298832 3.923768 6.697232 11.910315 21.779216 40.295961 79.246928
2025-10-05 2.221608 3.870763 6.750382 12.299575 23.099909 43.982083 89.421056
2025-10-12 2.133378 3.789734 6.744719 12.575141 24.225683 47.406780 99.512950
2025-10-19 2.079202 3.765284 6.838327 13.046400 25.783683 51.869365 112.463602
2025-10-26 1.929222 3.550258 6.558051 12.755725 25.757598 53.042531 118.215432
2025-11-02 1.807144 3.378426 6.345572 12.579876 25.949271 54.692436 125.283079
2025-11-09 1.697619 3.222279 6.150666 12.420883 26.157643 56.395520 132.705514
2025-11-16 1.593325 3.068497 5.948157 12.226692 26.267010 57.884055 139.804563
2025-11-23 1.492808 2.914851 5.734018 11.987889 26.250829 59.078816 146.326282
2025-11-30 1.472836 2.922561 5.849015 12.473938 27.936825 64.456713 164.484941
2025-12-07 1.419990 2.858483 5.809522 12.612656 28.825202 68.016902 178.333137